How obama used big data to rally voters, part 1 mit. Data sources tony mcgovern 2016 presidential general election unofficial results note. What can enterprises learn from how the two major political parties used big data in the 2012 u. For more information regarding these files please see the using election data instructions. A system for realtime twitter sentiment analysis of 2012. Close the new window to return to this search page. This graph shows the official results of the popular vote of the 2012 presidential elections in the united states. Countylevel output is more easily obtained from our dave leip data files page.
Georgian election data brings to you the results of each election in georgia since 2008. Older people more susceptible to fake news, more likely to share it a new study found that 11 percent of people aged 65 and older shared fake news stories on facebook during the 2016 presidential. Our model produced good fit and supports the outcome of the 2012 election, given state polling data. President barack obama won a second term by taking the majority of swing states. Nov 08, 2012 download the 2012 presidential election results by county. This paper describes a system for realtime analysis of public sentiment toward presidential candidates in the 2012 u. Alaska vote entries for 2016 are currently repeated state totals. Oct 14, 20 our book about the 2012 election is full of what wonkblog likes best. Security and liberty, now available as a free download at. The us presidential election campaign is a melting pot of data processing and decision making, and the surge in the use of big data as a viable resource has brought about a major transformation in regular processes. Big data analytics for opinion mining and patterns detection of the tunisian election zeineb dhouioui bestmod laboratory. Included are data on not only the presidential elections, but also gubernatorial, senatorial, congressional, and special senatorial elections.
Social data drove the 2008 presidential elections and big data drove the 2012 election. Dec 09, 2017 the libraries numeric data catalog holdings has some interesting data on the united states election results starting from 1912 to the most recent election year. The year in election 2014 data set includes 127 national parliamentary and presidential contests held from 1 july 2012 to 31 december 2014 in 107 nations. This data comes from the national atlas of the united states u. Asked in the immediate aftermath of the 2008 and 2012 presidential elections.
This year, each presidential hopeful is aware of the importance of having an effective data analytics strategy, and all the data science and it expertise that entails. It contains a data set i created using the current population survey november supplement in 2010, 2012, 2014, and 2016. It matters because having that data allows us to understand the results better, and what they say about america today. This paper highlights the benefits and value that big data. Presidential election results and other types of election data. Full us 2012 election countylevel results to download looking for the raw election data to download for yourself as open data.
Fivethirtyeights polling data for the us presidential. State precinct reference for the 2012 general election excel. For many states we also have results from a large number of additional offices and estimates of precinctlevel normal vote. Links on this page point to files containing raw election results. The european election database is a resource for comparative research on elections in. Presidential election, 11 november and 2 december 2012. Nov 14, 2012 full us 2012 election countylevel results to download looking for the raw election data to download for yourself as open data. The growth recession of 2012 and the presidential election.
But a closer look at exit polling data shows obama lost the independent vote in. United states politics and election data homefacts. Cq press data visualization and data download tool for statistical information and biographical information on all three u. Russian presidential election results by federal subject. I decided to clean up the 2012 data, along with the 2016 data as it is published, and make it publicly available. I dont know about you, but one of the things i like most about presidential. What candidates within the republican party have results that are the most anticorrelated. Mathematical modeling of presidential elections and changes in states.
Our empirical results suggest that, despite these formidable problems, we can. Fivethirtyeights polling data for the us presidential election. Also included are three and fourway race polls with the republican and democratic nominees against various. This paper highlights the benefits and value that big data provides for political campaigns. Big data analytics for opinion mining and patterns. Presidential preference primary download april 24, 2012. You can find the results of past federal elections from several government sources. Data, statistics, media, and other resources on elections and voting, turnout, campaigns and nominations, electoral administration, and more, both in the united states and internationally. After the voters returned obama to office for a second term, his campaign became.
The file contains a breakdown of the county election data in one convenient download. If nothing happens, download github desktop and try again. This data file contains constituency statelevel returns for elections to the u. In addition the web version contains maps and tables of all this data plus presidential general results back to 1789. The use case leverages data from the 2016 us presidential primary election results augmented with personnel files. Official results of the popular vote of the 2012 presidential elections in the united states. Eds offers political information products for businesses, associations, and governmental organizations. The polls show the status between republican nominee mitt romney and president obama. This data shows the full results we have for each us county.
Live 2012 presidential, senate and house election results. Descriptions of each of these files can be found by following the links below. The federal election commission releases the official results of federal elections. Postelection maps for the 2012 presidential election gis. Big data analytics for opinion mining and patterns detection.
From this page you can download precinct boundary files and geographic conversion files for the 2012 general election. This article provides a collection of statewide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the 2012 united states presidential election, which was won by incumbent president barack obama. Includes election returns, 19821984 to present for national, state, congressional district, and county geographies. With integrated maps, analytics, and app configurations, you can guide early voting, locate election day polling places, share realtime election results, find your elected officials, develop redistricting plans, and manage campaigns. United states presidential election 2012, results by. Full us 2012 election countylevel results to download. At every twist and turn of the build up towards the eventual outcome, there is one mode of communication that links everybody, whether they are in blue states or red states, and that is that we all communicate and are transfixed by the realtime, digital maps of. Full us 2012 election countylevel results to download news the. Nationwide opinion polling for the 2012 united states. Jun 05, 2015 the impact of this trend has not been felt anywhere as much as it has in the us. Big data and the 2012 presidential election sas blogs. Aug 08, 2016 the potential of big data in politics grew out of the obama 2008 campaign.
Election data services has applied 39 years of experience with redistricting, elections, and gis. All of the print publications listed in this guide can be consulted onsite at the library of congress. Please note that the blk files on this page are based on u. Big data analytics for opinion mining and patterns detection of the tunisian election.
See the latest estimates and poll results at huffpost pollster. Each exit poll is listed chronologically on the left side of the page. Poor data and misleading metrics are bad for everyone except for the politicians who rely on them to confuse voters. This contains data relevant for the 2016 us presidential election, including uptodate primary results. Dan wagner, the chief analytics officer for obama 2012, led the campaigns cave of data scientists. In 2016 it will be the marriage of the two that will.
We then collected projected demographic data for 2016 to estimate the next presidential election. Future updates will include historical data for some states and where possible, 2010 and 2012 data. For the first time in time series history, facetoface interviewing was supplemented with data collection on. Continue reading about open data democratizes innovation. Please see our privacy statement for details about how we use data. Election administration and voting survey eavs this is the biennial election administration and voting survey eavs which collects statebystate data on the administration of federal elections. The electoral commission makes the data available for download in spreadsheet format but without an explicit statement allowing open reuse. Map of the 2012 russian presidential election by federal subject. As the 2016 presidential election heats up, here at 18f weve been working with the federal election commission fec to make campaign finance data. The ground game in the 2012 presidential election request pdf. Using election data files maryland state board of elections.
Democrat presidential candidate hillary clinton lost. Here are 10 of our favorites, and a bit about what each graph tells us about the 2012 election and. If we use the us 2012 presidential election as the yardage stick for a truly data driven campaign, then it doesnt seem like weve yet. As of october 2012 we now have 2008 presidential data for all states but oregon. The impact of this trend has not been felt anywhere as much as it has in the us.
What really decided the 2012 election, in 10 graphs the. If open data means anything, it applies to elections. Us 2012 elections data from the guardian datastore 14 november 2012. Election results global open data index by open knowledge. Next to the description of the survey is a link to download the survey documentation and data. I dont know about you, but one of the things i like most about presidential elections is. These reports are run by state, every two years, and are available for elections from 1982 to 2016. You can explore each election in detail using a variety of indicators such as turnout, overall results, individual party results, and much more. The resulting commaseparatedvalues files can be found in the data directory. President obama has won the election with about 65. This resource guide compiles a list of online and print resources that contain u. Could big data determine who wins the general election. These data are stored here in spss and stata file formats.
Full us 2012 election countylevel results to download news. For all the praise obamas team won in 2008 for its hightech wizardry, its success masked a huge weakness. But yet here we are, a week after the results, and open data around the results is hard to find. Unfortunately, elections data that was published by the isie present only a summary of. Russian presidential election results by federal subject, 2012. Pre election interviews were conducted with study respondents during the two months prior to the 2012 elections and were followed by post election reinterviewing beginning november 7, 2012. This page lists nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the 2012 united states presidential election between democratic incumbent president barack obama, republican mitt romney, as well as other thirdparty and independent challengers the persons named in the polls were official candidates in the general election or former candidates for a particular partys nomination. In that respect, one could argue that big data will be less of a factor than in 2008 or 2012, when it was still fairly new and novel. In 2016 it will be the marriage of the two that will determine the next president of the united states. The site gives results for instance for the 2012 presidential election down to polling station level. The huffington post collected countylevel election results from the websites of the election authority in each state, parsed the data and converted them into a common format.
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